“Trickle‑Down:  What It Is and What It Is Not”

January 18, 2026
Ricardo F. Morin
What It Is; What Is Not
CGI
2026

Ricardo F. Morín

January 4, 2026

Oakland Park, Fl.

Wannabe Axiom III

This essay examines trickle‑down not as an economic theory but as an axiom.  It asks when a contested hypothesis ceases to require demonstration and begins to operate as a standing justification.  At that point, it no longer explains outcomes.  It authorizes them.  

Trickle‑down is commonly presented as a mechanism through which accumulation generates general benefit.  Concentration is framed as provisional, inequality as temporary, and reward as ultimately shared.  

These claims shift attention away from verification and toward expectation.  Promise substitutes for proof.  What is described as distribution depends on prior withholding.  Benefit is said to flow only after it has been secured elsewhere.  

A mechanism that requires inequality in order to justify equality nullifies its own claim.  The logic depends on deferral.  Those positioned to wait are not those positioned to decide.  The contradiction becomes operative when patience is assigned unevenly.  Those asked to trust the longest are those least able to absorb delay.  Those who benefit earliest are not exposed to failure in the same measure.  Risk is not shared.  Time is not reciprocal.  

Trickle‑down does not compel through force.  It governs through assurance.  It asks that inequality be endured in the present in exchange for a benefit that cannot be demanded.  

What trickle‑down is, then, is a narrative that stabilizes concentration by postponing accountability.  What it is not is a distributive mechanism or a mutual ethic.  

When promise replaces demonstration, trickle‑down ceases to be examined and begins to function as an axiom.  

Domains of Action

January 14, 2026

A diagnostic study of how public life continues to function when judgment is limited and conditions remain unsettled



Mantra: Domains of Action
21” x 28.5”
Watercolor, graphite, wax crayons,
ink and gesso on paper 
2003

Note:

Nothing I say belongs to the painting.

The painting does not need words.

It already speaks in its own medium, to which language has no equivalent.


By Ricardo F. Morín

December 18, 2025

Oakland Park, Fl

This work was not written to advance a position or to resolve a debate.   It emerged from sustained attention to conditions that could not be ignored without distortion.   Writing, in this sense, is not an expression of purpose, but a consequence of awareness.

The pages that follow do not claim authority through expertise or urgency.   They proceed from the recognition that judgment must often act under incomplete conditions, and that clarity, when it appears, does so gradually and without assurance.   What is offered here is not a conclusion, but a continuation: an effort to remain faithful to what can be observed when attention is sustained.

This study does not proceed from constitutional expertise, institutional authority, or professional proximity to governance.   It proceeds from observation.   Its claims arise from sustained attention to how public life continues to function under conditions in which judgment is constrained, information remains incomplete, and decisions must nonetheless be made.

In fields where credentialed knowledge often determines legitimacy, writing from outside formal authority can invite dismissal before engagement.   That risk is real.   Yet the conditions examined here are not confined to technical domains.   They are encountered daily by citizens, officials, institutions, and systems alike.   Judgment under uncertainty is not a specialized activity; it is a shared condition.

The absence of formal expertise does not exempt this work from rigor.   It requires a different discipline:   restraint in assertion, precision in description, and fidelity to what can be observed without presuming mastery.   The analysis does not claim to resolve constitutional questions or prescribe institutional remedies.   It examines how governance persists when clarity is partial, when authority operates through multiple domains, and when continuity depends less on certainty than on adjustment.

If this work holds value, it will not be because it speaks from authority, but because it attends carefully to how authority functions when no position—expert or otherwise—can claim full command of the conditions it confronts.


This work clarifies a confusion that appears across many political cultures:   the tendency to treat “republic” and “democracy” as interchangeable ideals rather than as distinct components of governance.   The chapters observe how political arrangements continue to operate when inherited categories no longer clarify what is taking place.

The method is observational.   Political life is described as it is experienced:   decisions made without full knowledge, terms used out of habit, and institutions that adjust internally while keeping the same outward form.   The analysis begins from the limits of judgment as a daily condition:   people must act before they fully understand the circumstances in which they act.

What follows does not argue for a model or defend a tradition.   It traces how language, institutions, and expectations diverge across different domains of action, and how public life continues to operate under conditions that do not permit full clarity.


The Limits of Judgment in Public Life

1

Public life depends on forms of judgment that are uneven and often shaped by the pressures people face.   Individuals arrive at political questions with different experiences, different levels of knowledge, and different conditions under which they weigh what is put before them.  These differences do not prevent collective decisions, but they shape how clearly political terms and arrangements are perceived.   Everything that follows—how authority is organized, how participation is structured, and how each is described—develops within this clarity, which is limited and variable.

2

Political terms remain stable even when they are understood to different degrees.   Words such as republic and democracy have distinct meanings—one referring to an arrangement of authority, the other to a method of participation—yet are often used interchangeably.   The terms carry familiarity, even when the clarity required to keep them separate varies by circumstance.   As a result, public discussion may rely on established language without consistently matching it to the arrangements actually in effect.

3

A republic identifies an arrangement in which authority is held by public offices and exercised through institutions rather than personal rule.   A democracy identifies the method through which people participate in public decisions, whether directly or through representation.   A republic describes how authority is contained; a democracy describes how participation is organized.   Because these terms refer to different dimensions of political life—one structural, the other procedural—a single system may combine both.   The United States exemplifies this combination: authority is institutional and public, while participation is organized through elections and collective choice.

4

Public discussion often relies on familiar terms to describe political arrangements without tracing how authority and participation are actually organized.   Broad references substitute for institutional operation, allowing language to remain continuous even as circumstances shift.   The terms persist not because they precisely describe current arrangements, but because they provide a stable vocabulary through which public life can continue to be discussed as it adapts.

5

Patterns of this kind appear across many societies.   When circumstances are unstable, authority tends to concentrate; when conditions are steadier, participation often widens.   The direction is not uniform across countries or periods, but the pattern is recognizable:   authority gathers or disperses in response to conditions rather than to the language used to describe political life.   What varies is how clearly a society distinguishes between the structure that contains authority and the method through which participation occurs.

6

This movement between concentrated and dispersed authority appears differently across national contexts.   In Venezuela, references to the republic have often accompanied periods of strong executive direction, while appeals to democracy have not consistently been supported by durable procedures of participation.

In the United States, the emphasis sometimes reverses.   Democratic language is used to affirm broad popular involvement at the point of election, while republican structure is invoked to justify subsequent limits on participation through institutional filtering—nominee selection, confirmation timing, strategic vacancies, and procedural sequencing.   Presidential nominations move from popular mandate into Senate committee review, confirmation votes, and ultimately lifetime tenure, where decision-making authority is consolidated beyond direct public reach.

The terms differ, but the underlying pattern converges:   participation expands symbolically at the moment of selection and contracts structurally in the domains where authority is exercised over time.

7

Public life is easier to follow when the distinction between structure and participation remains visible.   A republic identifies how authority is arranged through offices and institutions; a democracy identifies how participation is organized through collective procedures.   When these terms are used without that distinction, attention shifts from institutional operation to nomenclature.   Debate turns toward language rather than process, and the movement of authority becomes harder to trace.

8

No single combination of structure and participation satisfies all the demands placed on public life.   Concentrated authority allows for speed but limits inclusion; broad participation expands inclusion but slows coordination.   Most governments combine these elements in varying proportions, and those proportions change as conditions change.   The relation between authority and participation becomes clearer in some periods and more opaque in others.

9

When this relation is unclear, people orient themselves by what is most visible.   Some look to executive action; others to representative bodies; many respond primarily to immediate outcomes.   These points of reference shape how the system is experienced even when its formal structure remains unchanged.

10

Public life continues not because its conditions are settled, but because decisions cannot wait for full certainty.   Authority acts while circumstances remain incomplete, and participation proceeds without full anticipation of its effects.   The system endures through this necessity: decisions are made under partial visibility, terms persist beyond their precision, and institutions adjust internally without losing their outward form.   What holds public life together is not clarity, but the need to proceed in its absence.


Executive Action Under Uncertainty

1

Executive action is the domain in which decisions are least postponable.   Unlike deliberative bodies, the executive is structured to act before conditions stabilize.   Time pressure, incomplete information, and competing signals define its operating environment.   This does not make executive judgment exceptional; it renders its limits more visible.

2

Because executive decisions are publicly observable, they often become the primary reference point through which political life is interpreted.   Orders, statements, appointments, and enforcement actions are easier to see than the processes that precede or follow them.   Visibility creates the impression of control even when outcomes remain uncertain.

3

The authority of the executive is often described as personal, yet it is exercised through institutional mechanisms.   Decisions attributed to an individual are carried out through agencies, procedures, and delegated discretion.   This layered execution allows action to proceed while responsibility is distributed across structures that remain largely out of view.

4

Periods of uncertainty tend to compress authority toward the executive.   When coordination slows elsewhere, executive action fills the gap.   This concentration does not require a change in constitutional structure; it occurs within existing forms as responsibilities narrow and timelines shorten.

5

Public judgment frequently focuses on decisiveness rather than conditions.   Speed is mistaken for clarity; repetition for resolve.   The question of whether a decision could have been otherwise is displaced by whether it was made visibly and without hesitation.

6

This focus alters how accountability is perceived.   Because executive action is immediate, it absorbs praise and blame even when outcomes depend on factors beyond executive control.   The executive domain becomes symbolically overloaded, functioning as a proxy for the system as a whole.

7

Over time, this dynamic reshapes expectations.   Executives are asked to resolve conditions that no single office can manage.   When results fall short, dissatisfaction is personalized rather than structural.   Judgment narrows toward figures instead of processes.

8

The persistence of executive action under uncertainty does not indicate failure elsewhere.   It reflects the necessity of action where delay carries its own costs.   The executive does not eliminate uncertainty; it operates within it.

9

As established in Chapter I—The Limits of Judgment in Public Life—the distinction between structure and method remains intact.   Executive authority is one structural component of the republic.   Its prominence under uncertainty does not convert the system into personal rule, nor does it dissolve other forms of participation.   It alters their relative visibility.

10

Executive action continues because decisions cannot wait for conditions to stabilize.   What the public observes is not mastery, but motion.   The domain appears decisive not because it resolves uncertainty, but because it must act while relevant information remains in flux.


1

Administrative action operates at a distance from public attention, not because it is concealed, but because it unfolds through structures designed for continuity rather than visibility.   Rules are applied, procedures adjusted, and priorities reordered within agencies whose work sustains governance without occupying the foreground of political life.   These actions rarely present themselves as discrete decisions, yet they shape outcomes as directly as legislative acts or executive orders.

2

Although the executive branch bears the most visible weight of action, it does not act alone.   Authority moves through a dense internal structure—departments, offices, and administrative hierarchies—that translates executive direction into practice.   Within this structure, different temporal orientations coexist.   Some units respond to the immediacy of political mandates; others operate within constitutional and statutory frameworks intended to secure duration, stability, and institutional memory.

3

What appears publicly as a unitary executive act is, in practice, the visible edge of a distributed process.   Administrative authorities do not replace the legislative function, nor do they interpret law in the judicial sense.   They apply existing statutes, regulations, and precedents to concrete circumstances, exercising discretion only within bounds already defined.   Governance continues through this application not because interpretation expands, but because execution must proceed even when direct legislative action is absent or delayed.

4

Procedural substitution occurs when formal decision-making cannot advance at the same pace as events.   When legislation stalls, or when executive authority reaches its constitutional limits, administrative processes absorb responsibility by adjusting how existing rules are applied.   Guidance is refined, enforcement priorities are reordered, and procedural pathways are recalibrated so that action can continue without altering the legal framework itself.

5

The effect of this adjustment is cumulative rather than declarative.   Procedures acquire force through sustained use across cases, offices, and time.   What matters is not the announcement of a decision, but the establishment of a practice that becomes operative through repetition.   Authority is exercised through continuity of application, not through proclamation or display.

6

Because responsibility is distributed across agencies and routines, public judgment often struggles to locate where change occurs.   Outcomes appear without a single moment of decision to which they can be traced.   This dispersal does not eliminate accountability, but it complicates it. Effects are experienced before their procedural origins are understood, if they are understood at all.

7

Over time, this mode of governance reshapes public expectations.   Citizens may sense that conditions have shifted while remaining uncertain about who acted or how.   Dissatisfaction attaches to the system as a whole rather than to identifiable actors, not because authority is absent, but because it operates through channels that do not align with public narratives of decision and responsibility.

8

Administrative displacement does not signal institutional breakdown.   It reflects the necessity of maintaining governance under constraint.   When formal decisions cannot be taken at the speed required, procedures adapt so that authority continues to function without exceeding its legal bounds.   The system does not suspend itself; it adjusts its pathways.

9

This domain illustrates the separation between form and operation established in the opening chapter.   The constitutional structure of authority remains intact, while its execution shifts in emphasis and sequence.   What changes is not who holds power, but how that power is carried forward under conditions that do not permit explicit resolution.

10

Governance persists through these substitutions because action cannot stop.   Authority moves not by abandoning its limits, but by working within them.   The continuity of public life depends less on visible decisions than on the capacity of institutions to apply existing frameworks to changing circumstances—imperfectly, and without claiming finality.


Electoral Ritual and the Persistence of Form

1

Elections are the most recognizable feature of democratic participation.   They provide a recurring structure through which public involvement is organized and displayed.   Their regularity creates a sense of continuity even as surrounding conditions change.

2

As ritual, elections affirm participation through repetition.   Procedures remain familiar—campaigns, voting, certification, transition—and establish a shared sequence that signals order and legitimacy.   These outward forms sustain confidence in the process, even when outcomes remain uncertain.

3

Elections endure not because they resolve conflict, but because they organize trust at the point of selection.   They do not settle disagreement; they make continued coordination possible by establishing a recognized moment of authorization.

4

Once trust is organized at the point of selection, public attention shifts from the mechanics of participation to the visibility of results.   Winning and losing replace examination of how participation translates into policy, administration, or enforcement.   The ritual satisfies the expectation of involvement, while attention moves away from the pathways through which authority is exercised after selection.

5

This emphasis on outcome reinforces symbolic stability.   As long as elections occur on schedule and results are recognized, the system appears intact.   Questions about how decisions are made afterward—how authority is carried forward, distributed, and constrained—receive less sustained attention.

6

Discrepancies between electoral choice and lived experience are often attributed to individuals rather than to institutional pathways.   Dissatisfaction becomes personalized, while the structural distance between participation and governance remains largely unexamined.

7

Electoral rituals persist because they serve a stabilizing function.   They mark transitions, renew legitimacy, and provide a shared reference point for public life.   Their endurance does not depend on their capacity to resolve underlying pressures, but on their ability to preserve coordination in the presence of disagreement.

8

As conditions change, participation may become more expressive than effective.   Voting signals presence and alignment, even when it does not materially alter administrative or executive trajectories.   Expression remains visible; influence becomes less certain.

9

Democracy, understood as method, remains visible and active.   What fluctuates is the degree to which participation reaches into the domains where decisions are continuously adjusted, and where authority continues to operate after the moment of voting.

10

Public life continues through this arrangement because action cannot pause at the point of selection.   Decisions proceed while conditions evolve, information accumulates unevenly, and responsibility shifts across domains.   What endures is not resolution, but continuity: governance advances through adjustment rather than completion, sustained by institutions that act without claiming finality.


“Eschatology”

January 11, 2026

Ricardo F. Morin
Eschatology
Watercolor, gouache, oil sticks, white correction fluid, and black ink on paper
14″ x 20″
2004

Ricardo F. Morín

January 11, 2026

Oakland Park, Fl

1.  Civilizations periodically describe their present as uniquely perilous.  Such claims are rarely grounded in historical comparison or institutional analysis.  They arise instead from a failure of scale:  the inability to distinguish disruption from collapse, uncertainty from termination, and incoherence from apocalypse.

2.  Moments of genuine civilizational danger are not hypothetical.  The Black Death removed a third of Europe’s population.  The Thirty Years’ War devastated entire regions.  The twentieth century combined industrialized warfare, genocide, and the advent of nuclear annihilation.  These events did not require prophetic language to be understood as catastrophic.  Their magnitude was measurable.  Their effects were material.  Their causes were traceable.

3.  Apocalyptic rhetoric appears not when danger is greatest, but when comprehension falters.  It converts uncertainty into moral drama.  When political processes appear opaque, when outcomes resist prediction, and when authority behaves without an intelligible pattern, explanation withdraws.  In its place enters eschatology:  a narrative that simplifies complexity, assigns absolute blame, and promises closure.

4.  The figure of the Antichrist belongs to this register.  It is not an analytical category.  It is a symbolic condensation of fear.  By locating total danger in a single person, eschatological thinking relieves societies of the obligation to examine institutions, incentives, and limits.  It replaces causal inquiry with revelation.

5.  Such framing also distorts responsibility.  Civilizations do not disintegrate because of individuals alone.  They deteriorate through cumulative failures of governance, adaptation, and legitimacy.  These processes unfold unevenly, often reversibly, and without finality.  They do not announce themselves with signs.  They do not culminate on schedule.

6.  Eschatology thrives where explanation retreats.  It offers emotional certainty where analysis requires patience.  It persuades by promising an end to ambiguity, not by clarifying causes.  By transforming political disorder into cosmic struggle, it diverts attention away from conditions that can be examined and toward myths that cannot be corrected.

7.  The danger of apocalyptic thinking is not that it exaggerates risk, but that it misdirects attention.  It trains citizens to search for omens rather than causes, villains rather than conditions, destiny rather than decisions.  In doing so, it deepens the very helplessness it claims to describe.

8.  What the present requires is not prophecy, but proportion.  Not moral theater, but discernment.  Not the language of revelation, but the discipline of understanding how power operates, where it fails, and how it can be constrained.

9.  Where explanation returns, superstition recedes.  Where clarity is restored, apocalypse loses its hold.

 

“Viability”

January 11, 2026

Ricardo F. Morín
Viability
Watercolor frottage and white corrector on drafting vellum
20″x30″
2005

 

1.  The question is often posed as to why certain corrupt regimes become objects of political action while others, no less compromised, do not.  At first glance, this appears to demand a comparative moral explanation.  In fact, it does not.  The difficulty lies not in the absence of information, but in the assumption that such actions are guided by a coherent and generalizable system of principles.

2.  What can be observed is not the application of a principle across cases, but decisions taken one case at a time.   Political action does not follow a rule that can be applied in advance to different regimes.   For that reason, comparisons between Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Russia, or Argentina obscure more than they clarify.  They assume a standard of decision-making that is not, in practice, a guiding action.

3.  The actions examined here are those taken by Donald Trump in his capacity as a political actor.  His name is introduced not to explain behavior through personality or intention, but to locate responsibility.  The analysis proceeds from observable decisions and the circumstances in which those decisions were taken, rather than from suppositions about character, motive, or disposition.

4.  The more relevant question is therefore not why some regimes are confronted and others ignored, but under what circumstances a country presents few obstacles to action, and which immediate interests align to make that action feasible.  This reframing shifts the analysis away from moral judgment and toward observable circumstances.

5.  Understood in these terms, the issue admits a response—not as a rule, but as an account of how decisions are made in specific cases.   There is no way to infer, from the level of corruption alone, whether action will occur.  There is, however, a way to explain why, in particular circumstances, action proceeds.

6.  In the Venezuelan case, several conditions converge.

7.  First, immediate external resistance is limited.  Venezuela lacks allies willing to impose material, military, or economic consequences in response to pressure or limited intervention.

8.  Second, state institutions do not act in a coordinated manner.  Administrative agencies, security forces, and political authorities do not reliably operate under a single command, reducing the ability to mount a unified response and making external action easier to pursue.

9.  Third, Venezuela can be publicly described as an exceptional case—marked by collapse, criminal conduct, and administrative failure—which allows actions to be presented to domestic audiences without invoking a general principle that would need to apply elsewhere.

10.  Fourth, economic interests operate through short-term negotiation rather than long-term alignment. Venezuelan oil, under sanctions and administrative disorder, can be folded into ad hoc bargaining without requiring stable commitments or enduring partnerships.

11.  Finally, pressure on Venezuela does not trigger immediate disruption to major markets or strategic balances. Unlike cases involving Saudi Arabia or Russia, action does not risk cascading economic or military responses.

12.  None of these factors amounts to a moral explanation or a guiding doctrine. Taken together, they describe when an administration acts through foreign policy: not because corruption is greater, but because resistance is limited, interests converge quickly, and a domestic account of the action can be sustained—conditions absent in many cases of equally severe corruption.

13.  This does not explain the world.  It explains a decision.

 


“Inflation:  What It Is and What It Is Not.”

January 11, 2026
Ricardo F. Morin
What It Is; What Is Not
CGI
2026

Ricardo F Morin

4 de enero de 2026

Oakland Park, Fl

This essay treats inflation not as a technical variable but as an axiom.  It asks when inflation ceases to appear as a policy outcome and begins to function as a background assumption.  At that point, it no longer argues its case.  It is endured.

 Inflation is commonly described as neutral.  It is said to affect all equally, to arise impersonally, and to correct excesses over time.  These descriptions grant it the status of a natural condition rather than a decision mediated by institutions.  In doing so, they suspend ethical inquiry.  

What presents itself as general is, in practice, asymmetrical.  Inflation redistributes value across time.  Those who can defer consumption, hold assets, or hedge exposure are not affected in the same manner as those whose lives are indexed to wages, rent, or fixed obligations.  A condition that produces predictable inequality while presenting itself as neutral contradicts its own description.  

The contradiction deepens when inflation is framed as inevitable.  Inevitability removes agency from decision while preserving its effects.  Responsibility dissolves into explanation.  Adjustment is demanded without consent, and patience is prescribed as virtue.  The ethical tension does not lie in sacrifice itself, but in the absence of reciprocity.  Those who decide are not exposed in the same temporal frame as those who absorb the cost.  

Inflation operates quietly.  It does not compel through force but through normalization.  It is accepted because it is explained, and it persists because it is treated as unavoidable.  What inflation is, then, is a distributive mechanism embedded in time.  What it is not is neutral, impersonal, or shared equally.  

The moment this distinction is obscured, inflation ceases to be examined and begins to rule as an axiom.  


“Concealments”

January 10, 2026
Ricardo F. Morín
Erasures
Watercolor rub-offs on Japanese tissue paper
14″x20″
2005

Ricardo F. Morín

January 10, 2026

Oakland Park, Fl

*

1.

Public discussion often treats corruption as a series of discrete scandals attached to identifiable individuals.  That framing is misleading.  Investigative reporting and judicial records increasingly show that, particularly in the Venezuelan case, responsibility is displaced through repeatable actions that allow illicit benefit while obscuring accountability.

2.

The PBS Frontline documentary examining the rise and role of Alex Saab provides a clear point of entry.  Saab did not function as a policymaker or symbolic representative.  According to United States indictments and sustained investigative reporting, he acted as a testaferro—a fraudulent front man—through whom contracts, assets, and payments were routed to conceal the true beneficiaries.

3.

The diagnostic importance of Saab lies not in his personal profile but in the action he performed.  A testaferro is not a neutral intermediary.  He lends his name so that authority may receive benefit while denying responsibility for the consequences of its decisions.  The contractual signatory does not indicate decision-making authority.

4.

This action appears repeatedly in Venezuela across multiple domains:  oil sales conducted through intermediaries, food import programs delivering overpriced or tainted goods, housing projects funded and left incomplete, and financial transfers designed to evade sanctions and scrutiny.  Each domain differs in form, but the same action recurs:  authorization is granted, benefit accrues, and responsibility is displaced.

5.

The same displacement of responsibility appears in the use of irregular armed groups that exercise coercion without formal attribution.  Their actions do not require demonstrable command.   The absence of a traceable chain of authority is not incidental but integral:   force is applied while authorship remains deniable.

6.

At this stage, individual corruption gives way to criminal conduct sustained over time.  United States prosecutors have alleged that these financial and logistical actions coincide with narcotics trafficking and money laundering attributed to senior civilian and military officials, including Nicolás Maduro.  These allegations rest on claims of coordination, protection, and benefit.

7.

What U.S. indictments and investigative journalism describe as the Cartel de los Soles does not depend on the existence of a unified chain of command.  The term refers to a condition in which drug trafficking depends on permission, tolerance, or protection by state authorities rather than independent criminal initiative.

8.

Under this account, Saab is neither anomaly nor mastermind.  He is a replaceable participant whose removal does not interrupt the conduct described.  The persistence of the activity depends on substitution, not on loyalty or hierarchy.

9.

This clarification resolves a recurrent confusion in public debate.  Describing these actions does not constitute moral judgment or ideological hostility.  It identifies delegated fraud through which authority preserves outward legitimacy while transferring legal exposure to intermediaries.

10.

When these actions extend across ministries, borders, and markets and are sustained by coercive power, they exceed ordinary corruption.  They constitute organized criminal conduct exercised with the capacity of the State, regardless of whether a classic cartel form is present.

11.

The significance of the Frontline investigation is not that it adds another episode to a familiar narrative.  It shows how the use of front men allows this conduct to persist over time.  What follows from this recognition is not vindication but clarity about why accountability cannot be achieved by removing individuals alone.


References:


“An Agreement to Disagree”

January 10, 2026

Ricardo F. Morín
An Agreement to Disagree
Watercolor, gouache, whiteout and black ink on paper
14″x20″
2005

Ricardo F. Morín

January 9, 2026

Oakland Park, Fl

Some antagonisms call not for vindication, but for clarity  

*

Our exchange revealed not a disagreement to be resolved, but a misalignment that could not be repaired through further argument.  What initially appeared as an analytical difference gradually disclosed a deeper divergence in how understanding itself was approached.  At that point, explanation no longer clarified and began to obscure.  

There are moments in life when antagonistic relationships must be confronted not to prevail, but to discern limits.  Not every challenge is an invitation to engage, and not every assertion of authority merits reply.  When discourse shifts from inquiry to self-assertion, the task is no longer persuasion, but recognition—of what can be shared, what cannot, and when distance becomes a form of integrity rather than withdrawal.  

Disengagement, understood in these terms, is not an abdication of reason, nor a retreat from rigor.  It is an acknowledgment that intellectual authority does not arise from moral superiority, from the accumulation of sources, or from the insistence on being recognized as correct.  Authority that cannot tolerate limits undermines itself by the very posture it adopts.  

Disengagement, then, is neither silence nor concession.  It is a turning away that carries weight:  liberating and disappointing, real and poignant.  It offers no solace, yet affirms life itself by refusing to persist in distortion.  What remains is not victory, but truth preserved through restraint.  

Authority intolerant of limits succumbs to hubris for its own sake.  

“Portrait of a President: Series III”

January 9, 2026
Ricardo F. Morín
Portrait of a President III
Watercolor, gouache, black ink, and white corrector on paper
14″x20″
2003

Ricardo F. Morín

January 7, 2026

Oakland Park, Fl

1.

The present moment does not register as a crisis of ideology, but as a crisis of sequence.  What is being tested is not the content of declared principles, but the order in which authority, review, and justification are made to occur.  Decisions are advanced before the conditions that would ordinarily authorize them have been articulated, and coherence is asked to follow action rather than govern it.  This inversion does not abolish law, institutions, or legitimacy.  It displaces them.  What once determined whether action should proceed now intervenes after action has already been declared.

2.

In Venezuela, this inversion becomes visible through the widening separation between legitimacy and enforceable authority.  Electoral victory, moral credibility, and international recognition continue to exist, but they no longer determine who is treated as operable.  Engagement instead centers on those capable of compelling compliance in the present tense.  Authority is identified not through mandate, but through continuity with the administrative, financial, and coercive mechanisms that currently exert control.  The effect is not confusion but selection.  Those able to deliver immediate outcomes are elevated as interlocutors regardless of ethical record, while those whose legitimacy lacks immediate enforcement capacity are bypassed.

3.

This preference has been articulated through assessment rather than implication.  Reporting on a classified briefing presented to Donald Trump indicates that U.S. intelligence concluded that figures drawn from within the existing Maduro apparatus were best positioned to assume control if Maduro were removed.  Vice President Delcy Rodríguez was identified not because of democratic standing or public credibility, but because of her continuity with the administrative, financial, and extractive mechanisms that continue to function within Venezuela.  Her experience overseeing the oil sector and engaging directly with commercial actors was treated as evidence of reliability in practice rather than legitimacy in principle.  What was evaluated was not character, but enforceability.  Criminal implication did not disqualify; it indicated command of the systems through which compliance could be compelled.  Opposition figures whose authority derived from electoral legitimacy but lacked immediate control over those mechanisms were treated as non-operable.  The selection privileged negotiability under pressure.

4.

This mode of selection is not confined to a single theater or moment.  It recurs wherever authority is exercised ahead of coordination.  Operability outweighs normative qualification.  Authority is derived from the capacity to transact, enforce, and stabilize outcomes in compressed timeframes.  Legitimacy is acknowledged but does not determine engagement.  What governs is the ability to act now and to absorb consequence later.

5.

The same inversion appears in Ukraine under different conditions.  Public declarations affecting military assistance, diplomatic posture, and negotiation have been issued without prior coordination with allies or institutions tasked with planning and review.  These statements do not clarify direction in advance; they compel response after the fact.  Allies recalibrate commitments once consequences are already in motion.  Planning follows assertion.  Coordination adjusts to announcement.  The question is not whether support exists, but whether its terms are introduced before or after the processes that would ordinarily govern them.

6.

This ordering is also visible within the American system itself.  On multiple occasions over several years, Donald Trump has acted on the basis of assurances issued by Vladimir Putin despite the existence of contrary assessments produced by U.S. intelligence agencies.  Those institutions were not dismantled or silenced.  Briefings continued.  Analysis persisted.  What changed was their position in time.  Intelligence no longer governed whether action proceeded; it reconciled itself to commitments already made.  Verification trailed assertion.  Agencies designed to anticipate risk were required to manage consequences they had not authorized.

7.

Once this ordering becomes perceptible, it does not remain confined to decision-makers.  Institutions, allies, and adversaries adjust their behavior accordingly.  Diplomatic actors treat public declarations as operative even when their durability is uncertain.  Agencies tasked with planning model scenarios around positions that may shift without notice.  Allies hesitate between waiting for clarification and acting to protect their own exposure.  Adversaries are instructed not by declared policy, but by the demonstrated sequence:  that commitments may precede review, that reversals may follow assertion, and that coherence cannot be assumed in advance.

8.

What emerges is not paralysis, but recalibration.  Systems continue to function by absorbing volatility as a standing condition.  Stability is no longer produced by predictability, but by the capacity to adjust rapidly to decisions introduced before their governing terms have been settled.  This adaptation does not resolve the inversion; it normalizes it.  Governance continues, but its coordinating force weakens.  Motion persists without measure.

9.

The consequence of this pattern bears directly on how authority and legitimacy relate to one another.  Legitimacy continues to be articulated through elections, alliances, and formal acknowledgment.  Authority, however, is exercised through immediacy—through the ability to set terms in motion that others must then accommodate.  This does not negate legitimacy; it sidelines it.  Authority no longer requires justification in order to operate.  Legitimacy survives as language, while authority consolidates through sequence.

10.

When authority is exercised independently of legitimacy, governance may still function, but it ceases to persuade.  Decisions are carried forward not because they are accepted, but because they are already underway.  Review becomes accommodation.  Law becomes explanation after action rather than guidance before it.  The danger here is not lawlessness, but displacement.  Constraint remains formally intact while losing its capacity to govern timing.

11.

This condition does not resolve into immediate collapse.  It endures.  Constitutional systems assume cooperation without being able to compel it in advance.  They rely on restraint exercised voluntarily, sequentially, and often against immediate interest.  When that restraint falters, institutions remain standing but lose coordinating force.  Authority fills the gap left by cooperation, often in the name of continuity.  What persists is governance without convergence, power without persuasion, and action without settled measure.


“Unmasking Disappointment: Series I”

January 7, 2026

“Geometric Allegory,” digital painting 2023 by Ricardo Morin (American visual artist born in Venezuela–1954)

To my parents

Acknowledgements

I wish to acknowledge Billy Bussell Thompson for his meticulous editorial guidance.  His feedback sharpened the structure, precision, and internal discipline of this work.

Preface

Unmasking Disappointment” follows a line of inquiry present throughout my work:   the examination of identity, memory, and the relations that emerge when life unfolds across cultural boundaries.   Although I have lived outside Venezuela for more than five decades and became a naturalized citizen of the United States twenty-four years ago, my relationship to the country of my birth remains a persistent point of reference.   The distance between these conditions—belonging and removal—forms the backdrop against which this narrative takes shape.

This work belongs to a broader autobiographical project that gathers experiences, observations, and questions accumulated over time.   While personal in origin, it does not proceed as confession or memoir.   Its method is sequential rather than expressive:   individual exposure is situated within historical forces and political structures that have shaped Venezuelan life across generations.   The intention is not to reconcile these tensions, but to render them visible through recurrence, record, and consequence.

Series I” introduces the first thematic clusters of this inquiry.   The episodes assembled here do not advance a single thesis, nor do they aim at resolution.   They trace points of friction where private experience intersects with public power, and where political narratives exert pressure on ordinary life.   Across these encounters, patterns emerge—not as abstractions, but as conditions that alter how authority is exercised, how responsibility is displaced, and how agency is constrained.

The chapters that follow examine the pressures produced by systemic inequality and trace contemporary Venezuelan conditions back to their historical formation.   Autocratic rule and popular consent appear not as opposing forces, but as elements that increasingly entangle and weaken one another.   Within this entanglement, truth does not disappear; it becomes less evenly accessible and more readily displaced by narrative.

When public discourse is shaped by propaganda and misinformation, authoritarian structures gain resilience.   Recovering truth under such conditions does not resolve political conflict, but it clarifies the limits within which political life operates.   Agency emerges not as an ideal, but as a condition sustained—or undermined—through practice and consequence.

This work does not propose deterministic explanations or simple remedies.   It proceeds by accumulation, drawing attention to patterns that persist despite changing circumstances.   What it asks of the reader is not agreement, but attention:   to evidence, to sequence, and to the conditions under which political freedom may be meaningfully exercised.

Writing from Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania, and Fort Lauderdale, Florida, I remain aware of the distance between the environments in which this work is composed and the conditions it examines.   That distance does not confer authority; it imposes responsibility.

Ricardo Federico Morín
Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania, January 21, 2025


*

Table of Contents

  • Chapter I – A Written Language.
  • Chapter II – Our Recklessness.
  • Chapter III – Point of View.
  • Chapter IV – A Dialogue.
  • Chapter V – Abstract.
  • Chapter VI – Chronicles of Hugo Chávez (§§ I-XVII).
  • Chapter VII – The Allegorical Mode.
  • Chapter VIII – The Ideal Government and the Power of Virtue.
  • Chapter IX – The First Sign:   On Political and Social Resentment.
  • Chapter X – The Second Sign:   The Solid Pillar of Power:   The Military Forces.
  • Chapter XI – The Third Sign:  The Asymmetry of Political Parties.
  • Chapter XII – The Fourth Sign:  Autocracy (§§ 1-9):  Venezuela (§§ 10-23), The Asymmetry of Sanctions (§§ 24-32).
  • Chapter XIII – The Fifth Sign:  The Pawned Republic.
  • Chapter XIV – The First Issue:   Partisanship, Non-partisanship, and Antipartisanship.
  • Chapter XV – The Second Issue:   On Partial Truths and Repressive Anarchy.
  • Chapter XVI – The Third Issue:   The Clarion of Democracy.
  • Chapter XVII – The Fourth Issue:   On Human Rights.
  • Chapter XVIII – The Fifth Issue:  On the Nature of Violence.
  • Chapter XIX – The Ultimate Issue:   About the Deliverance of Injustice.
  • Acknowledgments.
  • Epilogue.
  • PostScript.
  • Appendix:   Author’s Note, Prefatory Note.     A). Venezuelan Constitutions [1811-1999], Branches, and Departments of Government.   B) Evolution of Political Parties: 1840-2024.    C) Laws Enacted by the Asamblea Nacional.  D) Clarificatory Note on Domestic Coercion, Foreign Presence, and Intervention.
  • Bibliography.

A Written Language

Stability is often sought where it cannot be secured.   Experience has shown this repeatedly.   Even careful intentions tend to draw one into uncertain terrain, where understanding lags behind consequence.   At the desk, as late-afternoon light reaches the page, writing assumes a practical function:   it becomes a means of ordering what would otherwise remain unsettled.   The act does not resolve vulnerability, but it records it.   Whether time alters such conditions remains uncertain; what can be done is to give them form.

What follows moves from the conditions of writing to the conditions it must confront.


*

Our Recklessness

~

Our painful struggle to deal with the politics of climate change is surely also a product of the strange standoff between science and political thinking.” — Hannah Arendt:   The Human Condition:   Being and Time [1958], Kindle Book, 159.

1

The COVID pandemic and the 2023 Canadian wildfires, among other recent events, have made visible conditions that were already in place.     These events did not introduce new vulnerabilities as much as they revealed the extent to which existing systems depend on economic incentives and political habits that privilege extraction over preservation.   During the period when smoke from the fires reached the northeastern United States, daylight in parts of Pennsylvania was visibly altered and registered the reach of events unfolding at a considerable distance.   Such occurrences do not stand apart from prevailing economic arrangements; they coincide with a model that treats natural conditions as commodities and absorbs their degradation as an external cost.

2

The fires in California in 2025, like those that spread across Canada in 2023, do not present themselves as isolated occurrences.   They form part of a sequence shaped by environmental neglect, political inertia, and sustained industrial expansion.   Conditions such as desertification, resource scarcity, and population displacement no longer appear solely as projected outcomes; they are increasingly registered as present circumstances.   Scientific assessments indicate that these patterns are likely to intensify in the absence of structural change. [1][2][3]   What is brought into view, over time, is not a singular failure but a system that continues to operate according to priorities that favor immediate yield over long-term continuity.

3

The question of balance does not arise solely as a technical problem.   It emerges within a moral and political field shaped by prevailing economic assumptions.   The treatment of nature—and more recently of artificial intelligence—as a commodity reflects a trajectory in which matters of shared survival are increasingly translated into market terms.    Under such conditions, considerations that once belonged to collective responsibility are recast as variables within systems of calculation.

4

Such patterns place increasing strain on conditions necessary for collective survival.   Responses to these conditions vary and range from indifference to urgency, though urgency does not invariably produce clarity.   What becomes apparent, across repeated instances, is a tendency for crisis to recur without sustained adjustment.   This recurrence parallels the political histories examined in the chapters that follow, where warning and consequence frequently fail to align.


Endnotes—Chapter II


*

Point of View

1

Conversations with my editor, Billy Bussell Thompson, have accompanied the development of this work over time.    His attention to research method and to the structure of argument has contributed to the clarification of its scope and direction.    These exchanges, often conducted at a distance and without ceremony, formed part of the process through which the present narrative took shape.    After an extended period of uncertainty regarding how to approach the subject of Hugo Chávez, the contours of Unmasking Disappointment gradually emerged.

2

Hugo Chávez entered national political life as a leader whose authority was exercised in opposition to political liberalism. [1]  While his public discourse emphasized alignment with the poor, the material benefits of power accumulated within a narrow circle. [2]  Over the course of his tenure, democratic institutions in Venezuela experienced progressive weakening, and governance assumed increasingly authoritarian forms.   These developments become more legible when situated within the historical record and examined through documented practice rather than rhetorical claim.

3

The events that followed Chávez’s rule are marked by disorder and unresolved consequence.   Their persistence draws attention to questions of historical accountability and collective responsibility that remain unsettled.   Examining the record of autocratic leadership—its ambitions as well as its failures—provides a means of approaching the problem of justice in Venezuela without presuming resolution.   Through this examination, enduring tensions come into view as conditions to be understood rather than conclusions to be reached.

~


Endnotes—Chapter III

  • [1]   The term caudillo originates in Spanish and has historically been used to describe a leader who exercises concentrated political and military authority.    In the Venezuelan context, the term carries particular resonance and refers to figures associated with the post-independence period of the nineteenth century.    Such leaders tended to consolidate power through a combination of personal authority, allegiance from armed factions, and the promise—whether substantive or rhetorical—of maintaining order under conditions of instability.    While some were regarded as defenders of local or national causes, others became associated with practices that facilitated authoritarian governance and weakened institutional structures.    The concept of the caudillo continues to function within Venezuelan political culture as a descriptive category applied to leadership forms that combine popular support with concentrated power.

Chapter IV

A Dialogue

A series of conversations between BBT and the author accompanied the examination of Venezuelan politics and history developed in this section.   These exchanges formed a transitional space in which reflection gave way to historical inquiry, allowing questions of interpretation, responsibility, and record to be addressed through dialogue rather than exposition.

1

—RFM:   “My writing has been concerned with the evolution of Venezuela’s political landscape, with particular attention to the emergence of authoritarian forms of rule.   The focus has been less on abstract doctrine than on how specific policies translated into everyday conditions for ordinary Venezuelans.”

2

—BBT:   “Examining how authoritarian leadership shapes political conditions is necessary, though the term itself is often contested and applied unevenly.   In Chávez’s case, the use of propaganda was not exceptional in form, but it was consistently employed as an instrument of governance.   How did official narratives during his tenure circulate, and what effects did they have on public perception over time?”

3

—RFM:  “Propaganda is not unique to Chávez; it functions as a recurring instrument across political systems.   In Venezuela, official media regularly attributed economic hardship to external interference rather than to domestic policy decisions.    At the same time, material conditions deteriorated, with shortages emerging from economic mismanagement and later compounded by external restrictions.   Opposition groups also circulated counter-narratives, which in turn elicited responses from the State.    These exchanges unfolded within a historical context shaped by civil conflict and Cold War alignments, and produced a fragmented informational environment.   Within that environment, responsibility for economic decline was frequently displaced, while public perception was managed through repetition rather than resolution.   The social and economic reforms invoked in justification did not, over time, yield the reductions in poverty and inequality that had been promised.”

4

—BBT:  “To render Venezuela’s political conditions with some accuracy, attention must be given to how ordinary citizens encountered these dynamics in daily life.     How were such conditions navigated in practice, particularly where political discourse intersected with immediate economic necessity?”

5

—RFM:  “The economic collapse that followed the decline of the oil-based model intensified poverty and placed sustained pressure on public services.   Examined in sequence, this period shows how colonial legacies and authoritarian practices converged in the formation of Chavismo.   Episodes such as the 1989 riots known as El Caracazo registered widespread disaffection with established parties and democratic institutions.   Under such conditions, the demands of securing basic necessities frequently outweighed engagement with abstract political principles.”

6

—BBT:   “Clarity in narrative depends in part on recognizing the assumptions that guide interpretation.   When these assumptions are made explicit and examined, the account becomes less directive and more accessible, allowing readers to follow the record without being steered toward a predetermined position.”

7

—RFM:  “No narrative proceeds without interpretation, including this one.   Writing provides a means of approaching Venezuela’s history—its colonial formation, episodes of authoritarian rule, and periods of political disruption—without foreclosing alternative readings.    A coherent account need not be exhaustive; it remains open insofar as it attends to implication and consequence rather than resolution.”

8

—BBT:  “The exchange itself underscores the importance of careful narration when approaching Venezuela’s political and social record.    Attending to multiple viewpoints does not resolve complexity, but it allows a more coherent account to emerge without reducing that history to a single explanatory frame.”

The exchange marked a transition from reflective inquiry to historical record.

~


Chapter V

Abstract

1

This section examines the sequence through which the political project articulated under Hugo Chávez assumed autocratic form.    Rather than attributing this outcome to a single cause, the inquiry proceeds by tracing how leadership decisions unfolded within a convergence of historical conditions, institutional arrangements, economic pressures, and geopolitical alignments.   The account does not begin from conclusion, but from record.

2
Attention remains on how authority was exercised and how its effects registered within Venezuelan society.    Historical circumstance, institutional design, and external influence are examined not to simplify the record, but to make visible the interdependencies through which power consolidated over time.    What emerges is not an explanatory thesis, but a configuration whose coherence can be assessed only through sustained attention to sequence and consequence.

~


“The Monroe Axiom: What It Is and What It Is Not”

January 4, 2026
Ricardo F. Morin
What It Is; What Is Not
CGI
2026

Ricardo F. Morin

January 4, 2026

Oakland Park, Fl

Wannabe Axiom I

*

The Monroe Doctrine is often treated as a historical policy.  Increasingly, however, it operates as something more elemental:   an axiom.  In this form, it no longer argues its case.  It establishes the conditions under which argument is permitted.  An axiom does not persuade.  It assumes.  

When the Monroe Doctrine functions axiomatically, it ceases to appear as a contingent claim about hemispheric order and becomes an unspoken premise about who may decide, when intervention is justified, and what forms of consent are considered sufficient.  What requires examination is not the doctrine as written, but the axiom as it now circulates.  

The Monroe Axiom asserts unilateral authority while presenting itself as regional responsibility.  It presumes that stability in the Western Hemisphere is inseparable from U.S. primacy, and that this primacy does not require reciprocal authorization.  Consent is not sought;  necessity is interpreted.  Decision precedes deliberation.  

Attempts to rehabilitate the Monroe Doctrine by assigning it a benevolent purpose do not alter its structure.  Such revisions change tone rather than authorization.  A claim of unilateral authority does not become mutual through intention.  Benevolence operates as an assurance offered after power has been exercised, not as a limit that operates before it.  Political fatigue may explain acquiescence, but it does not supply authorization.  What is endured is not thereby endorsed.

In its contemporary articulation, the axiom rarely declares dominance openly.  Instead, it presents itself as reluctant, unavoidable, or benevolent.  Intervention is framed not as choice, but as consequence.  Exhaustion replaces consent.  Democracy is invoked not as a process to be preserved, but as an outcome promised in advance.  Once inevitability replaces argument, the axiom becomes self-sealing.  Opposition is no longer disagreement;  it is reclassified as denial of reality.  

The Monroe Axiom fails the test of reciprocity.  A principle that justifies intervention outward but rejects it when reversed is not a principle.  It is asymmetry protected by habit.  When unilateral authority no longer feels obliged to justify itself, normative language ceases to clarify and begins to anesthetize.  

Hegemony does not normally operate through open domination.  It operates through consent.  Power becomes durable not because it is feared, but because it is accepted as legitimate.  The central mechanism is not repression, but agreement:  the willingness of ordinary people to recognize an authority as natural, necessary, or unavoidable.  

In this condition, governance no longer depends primarily on force.  It depends on institutions, economic structures, technical systems, and narratives that shape what appears normal and reasonable.  Over time, these arrangements narrow the range of what can be questioned.  Authority no longer needs to justify itself repeatedly.  It comes to define the terms under which justification is allowed.  

What emerges is a form of rule in which the primary objective of the system is no longer the public good, but its own continuity.  Stability becomes the overriding value.  Order is treated as a substitute for accountability.  The preservation of existing arrangements takes precedence over the purposes those arrangements were meant to serve.  

Such systems do not usually collapse through confrontation.  They weaken when consent begins to withdraw.  The decisive change occurs when people no longer believe the narratives that sustain authority, no longer accept the inevitability of existing structures, and no longer participate willingly in their maintenance.  At that point, power is forced to justify itself again.  And once justification becomes necessary, hegemony has already begun to fail.  

On Self-Authorizing Executive Judgment

As hegemonic justification weakens, authority relocates from consensual legitimacy to executive judgment.  What an axiom enables at the level of doctrine, executive practice completes at the level of justification.  Authority no longer presents itself as procedurally derived.  It presents itself as self-authorizing.   Decisions are framed as judgments rather than as actions subject to institutional review.  The language of prudence—stability, timing, coordination—functions not as an articulated framework, but as a justificatory surface applied after the fact.

In this mode, power does not describe a process by which decisions were tested, constrained, or evaluated.  It describes an internal certainty.   Judgment is treated as sufficient warrant.   Review is recast as delay.   Constraint is reframed as irresponsibility.  The executive becomes both actor and auditor, collapsing the distinction between discretion exercised within a republic and sovereignty asserted by an individual.  What persists is not the absence of the law, but a reordering of when the law is permitted to speak.

This transformation does not reject democratic language.   It inhabits it.   At that point, justification itself is treated as unnecessary.   Authority no longer explains itself to institutions.  It explains itself only to itself.

This displacement does not stop at intervention.  It extends into how moral authority itself is articulated in relation to executive power. 

What once appeared as rhetorical excess has now been confirmed as formal executive communication.  In a documented text exchange with Norway’s prime minister, later shared by the Norwegian government, Donald Trump explicitly linked his failure to receive the Nobel Peace Prize to a withdrawal of moral restraint and a reassertion of territorial entitlement.  He stated that because Norway had “decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 wars,” he no longer felt obliged “to think purely of peace,” and could now focus on what was “good and proper for the United States of America.”  From that premise, he dismissed Denmark’s sovereignty over Greenland as historically arbitrary, asserted U.S. equivalence of claim, and concluded that “the world is not secure unless we have complete and total control of Greenland.”   

This is not a metaphorical slippage of tone; it is an axiomatic substitution enacted in plain language.  Moral recognition is converted into a precondition for continued restraint.  Legal sovereignty is reframed as folklore.  Collective security obligations under NATO are inverted into a debt relationship owed to U.S. executive initiative.  The structure of justification no longer proceeds from treaty, law, or institutional reciprocity, but from unilateral narrative authority.  The episode does not illustrate a policy position; it reveals a mode of reasoning in which executive power ceases to argue its case and instead declares the conditions under which argument itself will be recognized.

On Recognition Substitution and Jurisdictional Drift



A recent procedural illustration of this logic can be observed in the treatment of Venezuela’s 2024 electoral outcome.  That election produced a determinate locus of constitutional legitimacy grounded in publicly documented tallies, corroborated by international observation, and reinforced by prior external recognition of the opposition coalition represented by María Corina Machado’s party.  These elements together constituted a juridical fact:  an authority derived from electoral procedure rather than from bilateral negotiation or executive preference.

Subsequent engagement by the United States executive branch with Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela’s acting executive did not contest that electoral outcome.  It displaced it operationally.  This displacement did not arise from a competing evidentiary claim about the vote count or from a legally articulated challenge to the election’s validity.  It arose from an external strategic preference for transactional stability over constitutional continuity.  Recognition was thereby detached from electoral legitimacy and reassigned on the basis of expedient functionality.

This maneuver reflects a category error with institutional consequences.  Diplomatic leverage authorizes negotiation, pressure, and conditional engagement.  Policy discretion authorizes the selection of strategies aligned with national interests.  Neither authorizes the redefinition of the internal locus of sovereignty within another State.  By treating these domains as interchangeable, executive U.S. policy practice converted foreign-policy discretion into a surrogate sovereignty-assigning authority.  What was presented as pragmatic statecraft functioned procedurally as jurisdictional substitution.

The displacement cannot be stabilized by invoking realism.  Realism explains why States behave instrumentally.  It does not supply a legal warrant for nullifying electoral outcomes.  The American executive branch did not demonstrate that the 2024 Venezuelan election failed to generate a legitimate authority.  It demonstrated only that the authority produced by that election was operationally inconvenient for the strategy being pursued by the American administration.  In institutional terms, this constitutes not correction but procedural override of another country’s sovereignty.

The structural consequence extends beyond Venezuelan governance.  When electoral legitimacy can be superseded by bilateral endorsement, elections cease to function as determinative acts and become advisory signals contingent on foreign approval.  Sovereignty is no longer derived from domestic mandate but from external recognition calibrated to strategic utility.  Authority migrates from constitutional process to diplomatic transaction.

This transformation does not announce domination.  It normalizes it.  Recognition becomes an instrument for reallocating jurisdiction.  Intervention becomes a method for reassigning legitimacy.

In this register, moral authority no longer functions as an external constraint on power.   Distinction ceases to operate as a limit placed upon authority and is converted into an accessory of it.  When moral standing is derived from proximity to executive certainty, independence dissolves without coercion.   What appears as endorsement is, structurally, a transfer of judgment from the moral sphere into the political one.

The failure of the Monroe Axiom is not confined to its original doctrinal form.  It persists because the axiom no longer needs to appear as doctrine at all.  Its logic now circulates in a different register—one that does not argue for unilateral authority, but presupposes it by altering the terms under which legitimacy is evaluated.

In this register, political conflict is no longer treated as a relation among agents operating under shared constraints.  It is reclassified as a condition to be managed rather than a position to be answered.  Once this shift occurs, reciprocity no longer functions as a test of legitimacy.  Action is justified not by reversibility, but by asserted necessity.

Within this framework, intervention is no longer judged against reversible standards.  It is judged against urgency.  Delay becomes negligence.  Restraint becomes complicity.  The language of limits gives way to the language of care, and coercive force is presented not as domination, but as treatment.  The axiom is not rejected.  It is rendered unnecessary.

This shift produces a decisive asymmetry.  Where reciprocity once constrained legitimacy, diagnosis now authorizes action.  The governing question is no longer whether an act could be defended, word for word, if positions were reversed, but whether the condition has been declared terminal.  Once that declaration is made, consent becomes secondary, proportionality becomes implicit, and accountability is deferred to an undefined recovery phase.

This transformation has a structural consequence.   When political communities are redescribed as incapacitated, authority no longer justifies itself in relation to equals, but in relation to asserted necessity.   Measures that would otherwise require justification are absorbed into ordinary administration.

Under this logic, action is no longer constrained by standards that must remain reversible.   Authority proceeds by classification rather than justification.   Once legitimacy is grounded in declared condition, the criteria for ending intervention no longer operate in advance.

It is under this displaced logic that material claims can be advanced without appearing as seizures, and control can be asserted without being named as such.  What follows is not an exception to the axiom, but one of its most concrete expressions.

Under this displaced logic, ownership itself becomes conditional.  Infrastructure developed in Venezuela by foreign companies is treated not as investment made under Venezuelan law, but as continuing possession by the United States.  What was built within Venezuelan territory, regulated by Venezuelan authority, and later nationalized through Venezuelan law is recast as something that never fully belonged to Venezuela.  

Under this logic, nationalization is no longer interpreted as a sovereign act.   What had been established within Venezuelan territory, regulated by Venezuelan authority, and later incorporated into Venezuelan law is reclassified as an asset whose ownership is said to precede that authority.   Past participation is invoked not as historical involvement, but as proof of continuing entitlement. Time is not treated as a boundary, but as confirmation.

Once this redefinition is accepted, the decline of Venezuela’s oil industry is no longer understood as a domestic failure affecting Venezuelans.  It is described as damage done to U.S. interests.  Mismanagement inside Venezuela is translated into harm inflicted on the United States.  Venezuela’s inability to maintain its own industry becomes evidence that it should no longer control it.  

From there, the reasoning shifts again.  The claim is then restated in corrective terms.  Control is framed as the reestablishment of a prior condition rather than the initiation of a new one.  What is transferred is described as something that never fully ceased to belong elsewhere.   Performance replaces consent as the measure of legitimacy.   Ownership becomes conditional, evaluated against outcomes rather than jurisdiction.  

The argument then adopts the language of vulnerability.  Disruption within Venezuela is described as exposure elsewhere.  Energy production is treated as a condition of stability rather than as an object of agreement.   What had been governed through jurisdiction is presented as a requirement of continuity.   Under this framing, intervention is aligned with prevention.   Choice becomes indistinguishable from obligation.  

In this sequence, ownership is no longer treated as a settled legal condition.   Jurisdiction is referenced, but only insofar as outcomes meet external expectations.   Control persists while its legal basis becomes contingent.

Claims initially framed as interests are restated as standing expectations.   Those expectations are then treated as conditions that must be met in advance of consent.