Posts Tagged ‘evidence’

Discernement

September 21, 2026


Ricardo F. Morín
Interpretation after Gothic Church Interior, Dutch School, 17th century.
Acrylic on board
Approximately 12 × 18 inches
1978

The mind can conceive explanations that exceed what it can establish.  The difficulty begins when it grants those explanations an authority that the available reasons do not justify.  A conviction then acquires the standing of knowledge without satisfying the conditions that would warrant that recognition.

Theology, astrology, and science do not justify their claims in the same way.  Theological arguments may appeal to revelation, tradition, religious experience, or philosophical reasoning.  Astrological predictions assert relationships between celestial patterns and human affairs that require empirical support.  Scientific explanations acquire credibility through evidence, testing, and comparison with alternatives, while remaining subject to correction.  These differences matter:  openness to examination does not make all claims equally credible, and the inability to disprove a claim does not establish its truth.

The fact that the mind conceives an explanation does not establish that its object is imaginary.  The question is what warrants accepting it and what could require its revision.  When every possible outcome is interpreted as confirmation, experience ceases to distinguish between the belief and its alternatives.  If no outcome can count against it, its apparent agreement with everything that happens cannot by itself establish its validity.

Astrology illustrates how this problem can affect agency.  An accepted prediction may influence decisions, discourage attempts, and narrow the possibilities a person is willing to pursue.  When those choices help produce the anticipated outcome, the person may attribute it to destiny, overlooking the contribution of the expectation itself.  The prediction need not come true to impose a limitation:  a belief about what must happen can restrict what a person attempts to make happen.

Reflection requires the discipline of keeping conclusions open to examination and revising them when the evidence warrants it.  That discipline extends to convictions that provide comfort, coherence, or direction.  It requires neither perpetual indecision nor equal doubt about everything, but confidence proportionate to justification.

The endurance of an assertion does not by itself establish its truth, and its openness to revision does not mean that it must eventually prove false.  The mind compromises its capacity for discernment when it ceases to examine the convictions that guide its decisions.

Ricardo F. Morín

September 21, 2026

Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania


« Folie à Deux »

April 1, 2026

Ricardo F. Morín
Still Life
22″ x 30″
Mixed media on paper
2000

A relation between two individuals may appear stable even when it rests on a false premise.  A decision is put forward without support and accepted before it is tested.  One speaks; the other adjusts.  A claim is introduced and taken in without examination.  When contradiction appears, it is set aside.  The relation holds because one asserts and the other accepts.  An account of two individuals may appear exceptional, but the relation it reveals is not confined to them.

 

A wider relation between individuals, sustained by excluding contradiction, does not require agreement.  It requires direction and alignment.  A statement is repeated as if it were already settled and is carried forward as something to maintain.  A speaker states a position with certainty and without qualification, and others accept that certainty as evidence of its validity rather than examine the claim itself.  A shared account sets what may be said; questioning it is excluded.  A decision holds because it confirms what is already assumed.  The relation continues without being questioned.

 

At what point does such a relation stop interpreting reality and begin to act in its place?  Not when a false claim appears, but when the relation no longer allows it to be tested.  As long as claims are tested, disagreement examined, and adjustment follows evidence, the relation remains open.  The shift occurs when alignment replaces testing.  A claim is carried forward before it is checked and no longer stands as something to be tested.

 

Contradiction no longer interrupts the relation.  It is dismissed or set aside and does not enter the decision.  What does not fit is excluded from what follows.

 

A claim holds because it repeats what has already been said.  Affirmation arises within the relation itself.  Correction becomes unlikely.

 

A decision formed within the relation is carried out beyond it without being checked, and a person who did not take part in forming it is required to comply.  The effect on that person is not examined and is treated as secondary to keeping the claim in place.  Each participant encounters the effect on the person subject to the decision.   Each participant continues to act in accordance with the claim and sets that recognition aside in order to maintain alignment.  The action continues before either law or ethics can take hold.

 

Decisions are then measured against what has already been affirmed rather than against what is present.  Behavior proceeds without testing.  Judgments form within closed circles of affirmation.  In an investment partnership, a senior partner advances a thesis under time pressure and incomplete information, and others commit capital on the strength of that authority rather than on outside validation.  Elsewhere, under unresolved uncertainty, in a clinical setting, available tests do not resolve the diagnosis, and a physician advances a working assumption; care proceeds on that basis as it is repeated and affirmed, while conflicting signs are set aside.  What appears consistent within produces actions that do not fit the conditions they are meant to address.

 

A relation of this kind also defines responsibility in a limited way.  Each participant attends to the other within the relation, but not to those affected by it.  Agreement between participants does not extend to those who are subject to what the relation produces.  Within the relation, nothing presents itself as a breach: the claim is affirmed, the decision follows, and alignment is maintained, so no point of interruption arises from which it could be judged.  Responsibility would require that each participant consider how the claim and the decision affect those outside the relation and allow that effect to alter or halt what follows.  Where that does not occur, responsibility remains contained within the relation, and those outside it are acted upon without their situation entering into the decision.

 

The difference between shared belief and shared distortion lies in whether the relation allows correction.  Where contradiction can enter and be considered, the relation remains open.  Where it is excluded, the relation closes.

 

The problem does not begin when a claim is false.  It begins when the relation that sustains it no longer allows it to be tested.

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Ricardo F. Morín, March 31, 2026, Oakland Park, Florida.